Prose and cons: 7 Predictions

In the wake of the 2016 Presidential election, I’m struggling to come to terms with the results. Part of that struggle has been to face up clearly to what is likely to come down the road. Here, I’m advancing seven predictions for the future, along with mitigating factors, counter-propositions and related implications. I hope I’m proven wrong, folks. (But I won’t be.)

PREDICTION ONE: Roe v Wade will be overturned by the Trumpist SCJ.
But hold on: In many red states, access to abortion is already limited. If Roe falls, then state law controls; abortion will remain safe and available in blue state strongholds.
Bottom line: Women and families making low incomes in red states will be disproportionately impacted.

PREDICTION TWO: Federal recognition of gay marriage will be overturned by the Trumpist SCJ.
But hold on: Gay marriage will remain legal and equal in blue strongholds. Red states will limit or reject gay marriage outright.
I’m asking: Millenials overwhelmingly reject anti-gay rhetoric. Will they vote in 2018 and 2020?

PREDICTION THREE:  Trumpism won’t bring back jobs lost to globalization and automation.
But hold on: Eventually, people will agree that the real winners of this election were billionaires and corporations, and we’ll have a genuine appetite for reforms in the way we tax and charter our would-be corporate masters.
Yeah, hold on that holding on: The need for decent-paying middle-class jobs is urgent. Taxes don’t create jobs. And automation is encroaching even on the service sector.
Implication: We need a solid safety net, for people just barely hanging on.
Reality check: The party taking power wants to privatize and shrink our existing safety net. The people have chosen to award that party control of all three branches of government.
As ever: The rich will do fine. The poor will be offered minimum wage jobs and told to be grateful they get that.

PREDICTION FOUR: Taxes will go down for the super wealthy, up for everyone else. Single parents will not be allowed to file as heads of household. Struggling people will be disproportionately penalized.
Yeah, but: Fixing tax code just requires passing legislation.
About that: Passing legislation requires winning the House, Presidency, and a supermajority in the Senate.

PREDICTION FIVE: US Healthcare costs, only just now slowing, will surge. Free of oversight, big pharma continues to soak US market.
Related: People with insurance from jobs will receive more lean benefit packages to offset costs and will pay more for meds.
Once again: People with disabilities, chronic ailments, low income families will be disproportionately affected.

PREDICTION SIX: Human impact on environment will continue unmodulated. Rising waters will threaten low-lying communities and in twenty years redraw the map of coastal America.
Yeah, but: Neither major party is serious about taking America green.

PREDICTION SEVEN: Capital will flee to the nation-state with the most stable form of governance. China and Russia will prosper and gain allies and financial muscle.

That’s the future I see. I’m not conceding anything; in two years, I’ll be voting for representatives who stand against Trumpism, and if a majority of Americans joined me, the far right agenda being advanced right now would only do minor harm to our country. If indifference and apathy hold sway, I’m afraid things will only continue to get worse. We have complicated problems to solve; they will require complex solutions.

The Mind Share Economy

Pricing a novel at $2.99 is painful. Even if every one of my Facebook friends purchased 10 copies, I still wouldn’t break even… even if I assign a zero dollar value to the hours I spent bringing Thief in Long Shadow to life.

But the way I’m looking at it? I need to beg, borrow or steal a bit of mind/market share of the reading public. I need to win readers one at a time, and hope that one or two or ten novels from now, those same readers will be happy to pay $25 for a hardcover version.

Like musicians making a living from concert proceeds rather than royalties from album sales… I need to keep writing, keep producing and maybe (if I’m lucky, and sufficiently persistent) I might be able to make a living doing what I love.

On August 15, the first novel of Northern Arcadia launches

I’m full of trepidation, but also excited. The work that John Galati of Weapons Grade Creative did for the book cover turned out well; the title treatment alone wound up being worth the investment (said the creative director in me.) I’m trying to keep my expectations in check vis-a-vis book sales. I’m going to be offering Thief in Long Shadow for a low price (not more than $2.99) and hoping the cover art entices people to give “Thief” a try. I can’t worry about it too much; I’ve got a novel to revise and another to draft.

Available on Amazon on August 15

Cover Art, Thief in Long Shadow

Three for Tuesday

Book number one (Witch in Morning) is complete. Prior to publication I’ll need to revise the manuscript to reflect what I’ve learned writing book number two (Thief in Long Shadow), for which a complete draft is now extant (and in the hands of a dear friend who happens to be a superb writer.) I didn’t expect to kick off book number three (Tea with Demon and Duchess) so quickly, and without finalizing the prior two books first, but something is happening. The words are coming unbidden now, and demanding precedence over everything else in my life.

Yay?

[note: post edited on 8-1-2014 to reflect the final names of novels in the series.]

Riding the Lightning

I’ve stopped posting with any sort of regularity; my efforts this month are mostly focused on getting the second Northern Arcadian novel, THIEF, finished. I should have a draft finished in a month or so, and I’ll be back puttering around in these parts soon.

Coin of the Realms (Part II)

The easy answer to ‘how do I capture information about various fictional geopolitical entities’ is to make a list. I like lists. This was my first draft:

Organization Name
Flag
Colors
Coin Name 1
Coin Name 2
Coin Name 3
Religion, Primary
Religion(s), Other
Language, Primary
Language(s), Other
State Nickname 1 State Nickname 2

Which in practice translated into a text doc full of entries like this:

I. GAELUS PACT
“The Old Republics”
“Greenies”

FLAG: Green cross with nimbus on white background
COLORS: Green & white
MAJOR CITIES: Caer Denis, Caer Jule
ETHNIC MAKE-UP: PIKS (55%), JUARO (25%), NAHR (10%), KADDIM VADESH (5%)
PRIMARY CURRENCY: Gold lairds, silver gryffids, copper bittins
MAJOR RELIGION(S): Paganism, Way of the Three Sisters, Occult philosophy

And this is what I’ve relied upon during the drafting of WITCH and HEIST. Simplicity means I can dedicate more time to actually writing. But I’m not satisfied. I continue to experiment with maps, but the software I’ve discovered is either too primitive or prohibitively expensive. Which is a pity.

A well-done map fires my imagination like little else.

Better (Late)

A onetime coworker turned published author recently asked his Facebook followers what they wanted in an author’s web site. A few items popped up regularly. Upcoming tour dates, author bio and bibliography seemed to be most common, with a few requests for favorite books. One person wrote enthusiastically about J.K. Rowling’s site(s?) for the Harry Potter books, which apparently offered behind-the-scenes and other ‘insider’ content.

The gap between the requests and what’s been on offer here, at this web site, didn’t go unnoticed. I’ve revised the ‘about’ section to include explicitly biographical information. Until I get a traditional publishing house to bring one of these manuscripts into print a ‘bibliography’ page would be premature. Book tours, likewise.

The only thing I’m missing, really? More people like you.

Quote

The goal of civilization is settled life and the achievement of luxury. But there is a limit which cannot be overstepped. When prosperity and luxury come to a people, they are followed by excessive consumption and extravagance. With that the human soul itself is undermined both in its worldly well-being and in its spiritual life.
— Ibn Khaldun